2016 HTG to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8071 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.5222 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6133 KES

2016 HTG to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HTG to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 1.8071. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 1.5222.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2849 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7647 to the December average rate of 1.5349, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8071 was down 12.21% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.0584, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,036 KES

2015 Average 9,687 KES

Yearly Trough Low 7,611 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,424.50 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7877

1.5119

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6588, compared to 1.5678 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0909 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6588

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5678

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0826 KES (High: 1.8071 / Low: 1.7245). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0124 KES (High: 1.6187 / Low: 1.6063).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0826

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0124

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0749 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0749

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.7647) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.9622), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1975 (-10.07%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.7647

2015 Avg (January) 1.9622

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8071	1.7245	1.7647
February	1.7213	1.6577	1.6898
March	1.6537	1.6310	1.6399
April	1.6429	1.6199	1.6291
May	1.6282	1.6085	1.6168
June	1.6187	1.6063	1.6122
July	1.6077	1.5925	1.6012
August	1.5987	1.5631	1.5822
September	1.5710	1.5484	1.5593
October	1.5720	1.5522	1.5605
November	1.5930	1.5464	1.5688
December	1.5607	1.5222	1.5349