2018 HTG to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6197 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.3083 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5031 KES

2018 HTG to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HTG to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 1.6197. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 1.3083.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3114 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5950 to the December average rate of 1.3438, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.6197 was down 5.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7163, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,099 KES

2017 Average 7,966 KES

Yearly Trough Low 6,541 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,557.12 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6201

1.3187

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5651, compared to 1.4412 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1239 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5651

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4412

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0828 KES (High: 1.3911 / Low: 1.3083). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0188 KES (High: 1.4618 / Low: 1.4430).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0828

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0188

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0651 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0651

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.5950) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5529), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0421 (+2.71%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.5950

2017 Avg (January) 1.5529

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6197	1.5685	1.5950
February	1.5902	1.5710	1.5810
March	1.5803	1.5589	1.5694
April	1.5735	1.5330	1.5530
May	1.5741	1.5383	1.5571
June	1.5660	1.5124	1.5349
July	1.5551	1.4883	1.5159
August	1.5131	1.4534	1.4948
September	1.4618	1.4430	1.4535
October	1.4486	1.4135	1.4301
November	1.4326	1.3910	1.4089
December	1.3911	1.3083	1.3438