2011 KES to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3182 ALL

YEARLY LOW

0.9711 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1427 ALL

2011 KES to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 1.3182. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.9711.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3471 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2829 to the December average rate of 1.2167, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.3182 was down 6.48% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.4096, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,591 ALL

2010 Average 6,568 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 4,855 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,735.69 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.3096

0.9896

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1938, compared to 1.0916 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1022 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1938

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0916

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.1352 ALL (High: 1.1856 / Low: 1.0504). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0331 ALL (High: 1.1773 / Low: 1.1441).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1352

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0331

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0668 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0668

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 1.2829) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.2793), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0036 (+0.28%).

2011 Avg (January) 1.2829

2010 Avg (January) 1.2793

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.3182	1.2557	1.2829
February	1.2744	1.2294	1.2548
March	1.2215	1.1647	1.1880
April	1.1895	1.1483	1.1687
May	1.1773	1.1441	1.1588
June	1.1475	1.0813	1.1096
July	1.1048	1.0705	1.0894
August	1.0760	1.0297	1.0510
September	1.0882	1.0082	1.0592
October	1.0459	0.9711	1.0163
November	1.1856	1.0504	1.1169
December	1.2694	1.1381	1.2167