2013 KES to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3127 ALL

YEARLY LOW

1.1698 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2275 ALL

2013 KES to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 19, valuing the pair at 1.3127. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 1.1698.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1429 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2083 to the December average rate of 1.1857, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.3127 was down 2.62% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.3480, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,563 ALL

2012 Average 6,401 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 5,849 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 714.50 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.3021

1.1751

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2473, compared to 1.2076 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0397 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2473

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2076

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.0686 ALL (High: 1.2384 / Low: 1.1698). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0182 ALL (High: 1.2135 / Low: 1.1953).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0686

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0182

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0401 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0401

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 1.2915) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.2922), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0007 (-0.06%).

2013 Avg (May) 1.2915

2012 Avg (May) 1.2922

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2387	1.1757	1.2083
February	1.2384	1.1698	1.1965
March	1.2780	1.2352	1.2572
April	1.2880	1.2659	1.2789
May	1.3127	1.2720	1.2915
June	1.2694	1.2334	1.2514
July	1.2614	1.2059	1.2348
August	1.2135	1.1953	1.2025
September	1.2199	1.1903	1.2044
October	1.2293	1.1952	1.2119
November	1.2223	1.1880	1.2063
December	1.1949	1.1751	1.1857