2020 KES to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2031 ALL

YEARLY LOW

0.8127 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0214 ALL

2020 KES to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KES to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 1.2031. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 19, dropping to 0.8127.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3904 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0874 to the December average rate of 0.9185, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.2031 was up 8.12% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.1127, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,016 ALL

2019 Average 5,388 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 4,063 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,952.15 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.1293

0.8994

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0781, compared to 0.9647 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1134 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0781

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9647

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was July, with a trading range of 0.2254 ALL (High: 1.0380 / Low: 0.8127). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0172 ALL (High: 0.9793 / Low: 0.9621).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2254

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0172

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0376 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0376

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2020: 1.0677) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.0868), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0191 (-1.75%).

2020 Avg (May) 1.0677

2019 Avg (May) 1.0868

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1051	1.0727	1.0874
February	1.1198	1.0967	1.1101
March	1.1288	1.0468	1.0808
April	1.1122	1.0502	1.0845
May	1.2031	1.0462	1.0677
June	1.0462	1.0259	1.0379
July	1.0380	0.8127	1.0038
August	0.9776	0.9553	0.9695
September	0.9806	0.9566	0.9702
October	0.9793	0.9621	0.9700
November	0.9776	0.9417	0.9561
December	0.9386	0.9042	0.9185