2018 KES to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0997 ALL

YEARLY LOW

1.0345 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0668 ALL

2018 KES to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 1.0997. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 9, dropping to 1.0345.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0652 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0641 to the December average rate of 1.0618, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0997 was down 12.32% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2542, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,499 ALL

2017 Average 5,753 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 5,173 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 326.01 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0854

1.0439

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0600, compared to 1.0736 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0137 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0600

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0736

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0388 ALL (High: 1.0814 / Low: 1.0426). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0142 ALL (High: 1.0860 / Low: 1.0718).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0388

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0142

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0098 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0098

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 1.0820) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.0831), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0012 (-0.11%).

2018 Avg (August) 1.0820

2017 Avg (August) 1.0831

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0830	1.0479	1.0641
February	1.0808	1.0466	1.0600
March	1.0671	1.0372	1.0517
April	1.0614	1.0345	1.0473
May	1.0794	1.0575	1.0670
June	1.0814	1.0426	1.0696
July	1.0788	1.0625	1.0711
August	1.0997	1.0674	1.0820
September	1.0864	1.0643	1.0768
October	1.0860	1.0718	1.0783
November	1.0845	1.0594	1.0716
December	1.0701	1.0551	1.0618