2016 KES to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2688 ALL

YEARLY LOW

1.1895 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2227 ALL

2016 KES to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 1.2688. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 18, dropping to 1.1895.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0793 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2418 to the December average rate of 1.2552, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2688 was down 12.62% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.4520, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,344 ALL

2015 Average 6,425 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 5,947 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 396.74 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2605

1.1973

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2209, compared to 1.2244 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2209

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2244

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0550 ALL (High: 1.2610 / Low: 1.2060). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0129 ALL (High: 1.2165 / Low: 1.2035).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0550

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0129

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0187 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0187

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.2552) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.2361), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0191 (+1.55%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.2552

2015 Avg (December) 1.2361

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2490	1.2298	1.2418
February	1.2440	1.2049	1.2230
March	1.2499	1.2052	1.2242
April	1.2190	1.1998	1.2079
May	1.2310	1.1930	1.2144
June	1.2290	1.1979	1.2143
July	1.2246	1.2081	1.2177
August	1.2170	1.1895	1.2026
September	1.2165	1.2035	1.2091
October	1.2339	1.2063	1.2232
November	1.2610	1.2060	1.2386
December	1.2688	1.2386	1.2552