YEARLY HIGH
1.1127 ALL
YEARLY LOW
1.0435 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0776 ALL

2019 KES to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 10, valuing the pair at 1.1127. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 1.0435.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0692 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0725 to the December average rate of 1.0854, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.1127 was up 1.18% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.0997, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,564 ALL
2018 Average 5,334 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 5,218 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 345.92 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.1066
1.0492
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0854, compared to 1.0699 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0155 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0854
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0699

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0342 ALL (High: 1.0831 / Low: 1.0489). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0126 ALL (High: 1.0800 / Low: 1.0675).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0342
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0126

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0236 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0236

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 1.1018) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.0517), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0502 (+4.77%).

2019 Avg (March) 1.1018
2018 Avg (March) 1.0517

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0874 1.0570 1.0725
February 1.1015 1.0820 1.0942
March 1.1127 1.0908 1.1018
April 1.1096 1.0819 1.0939
May 1.0931 1.0785 1.0868
June 1.0831 1.0489 1.0632
July 1.0593 1.0465 1.0540
August 1.0729 1.0435 1.0552
September 1.0784 1.0555 1.0644
October 1.0800 1.0675 1.0742
November 1.0962 1.0684 1.0863
December 1.0958 1.0711 1.0854