2012 KES to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3480 ALL

YEARLY LOW

1.2270 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2802 ALL

2012 KES to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 1.3480. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 1.2270.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1209 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2452 to the December average rate of 1.2396, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.3480 was up 2.26% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.3182, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,740 ALL

2011 Average 5,710 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 6,135 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 604.63 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.3370

1.2308

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2775, compared to 1.2829 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0054 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2775

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2829

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.0549 ALL (High: 1.3056 / Low: 1.2508). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0233 ALL (High: 1.2758 / Low: 1.2525).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0549

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0233

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0426 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0426

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 1.3281) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.0894), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2388 (+21.92%).

2012 Avg (July) 1.3281

2011 Avg (July) 1.0894

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2616	1.2319	1.2452
February	1.2834	1.2546	1.2670
March	1.3001	1.2655	1.2777
April	1.2900	1.2624	1.2796
May	1.3061	1.2761	1.2922
June	1.3195	1.2923	1.3033
July	1.3480	1.2995	1.3281
August	1.3379	1.3041	1.3178
September	1.3056	1.2508	1.2752
October	1.2758	1.2525	1.2644
November	1.2869	1.2547	1.2724
December	1.2564	1.2270	1.2396