2011 KMF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2939 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.2131 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2510 KES

2011 KMF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KMF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 0.2939. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.2131.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0808 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2200 to the December average rate of 0.2315, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.2939 was up 26.72% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.2319, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,470 KES

2010 Average 1,067 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,066 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 403.83 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.2877

0.2138

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2402, compared to 0.2618 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0216 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2402

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2618

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0308 KES (High: 0.2726 / Low: 0.2419). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0064 KES (High: 0.2529 / Low: 0.2464).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0308

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0064

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0251 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0251

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 0.2815) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.2279), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0537 (+23.55%).

2011 Avg (October) 0.2815

2010 Avg (October) 0.2279

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2260	0.2131	0.2200
February	0.2316	0.2220	0.2261
March	0.2452	0.2324	0.2398
April	0.2518	0.2394	0.2462
May	0.2529	0.2464	0.2489
June	0.2673	0.2515	0.2600
July	0.2661	0.2557	0.2609
August	0.2761	0.2628	0.2706
September	0.2838	0.2622	0.2696
October	0.2939	0.2738	0.2815
November	0.2726	0.2419	0.2566
December	0.2458	0.2215	0.2315