2018 KMF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2595 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0047 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2424 KES

2018 KMF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KMF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 0.2595. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 5, dropping to 0.0047.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2548 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2550 to the December average rate of 0.2362, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2595 was down 2.86% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2671, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,297 KES

2017 Average 1,187 KES

Yearly Trough Low 23 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,274.14 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2576

0.2262

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2491, compared to 0.2357 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0135 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2491

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2357

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2344 KES (High: 0.2391 / Low: 0.0047). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0027 KES (High: 0.2374 / Low: 0.2347).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2344

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0085 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0085

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.2550) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2242), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0308 (+13.74%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.2550

2017 Avg (January) 0.2242

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2595	0.2498	0.2550
February	0.2583	0.2503	0.2544
March	0.2551	0.2511	0.2534
April	0.2533	0.2463	0.2507
May	0.2480	0.2388	0.2421
June	0.2417	0.2370	0.2394
July	0.2409	0.2372	0.2389
August	0.2383	0.2324	0.2357
September	0.2416	0.2363	0.2386
October	0.2375	0.2339	0.2359
November	0.2391	0.0047	0.2289
December	0.2374	0.2347	0.2362