2016 KMF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2356 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.2156 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2289 KES

2016 KMF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KMF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 8, valuing the pair at 0.2356. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.2156.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0200 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2266 to the December average rate of 0.2188, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2356 was down 3.29% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2436, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,178 KES

2015 Average 1,108 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,078 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 99.79 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2347

0.2174

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2308, compared to 0.2270 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2308

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2270

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0112 KES (High: 0.2302 / Low: 0.2190). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 KES (High: 0.2314 / Low: 0.2283).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0112

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0053 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0053

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.2332) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2230), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0103 (+4.61%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.2332

2015 Avg (June) 0.2230

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2309	0.2237	0.2266
February	0.2338	0.2259	0.2300
March	0.2322	0.2239	0.2293
April	0.2351	0.2309	0.2333
May	0.2355	0.2274	0.2324
June	0.2356	0.2299	0.2332
July	0.2351	0.2265	0.2315
August	0.2319	0.2268	0.2285
September	0.2314	0.2283	0.2304
October	0.2308	0.2255	0.2286
November	0.2302	0.2190	0.2241
December	0.2217	0.2156	0.2188