2012 KMF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2311 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.2068 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2206 KES

2012 KMF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KMF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 0.2311. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 0.2068.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0243 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2258 to the December average rate of 0.2291, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.2311 was down 21.37% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.2939, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,155 KES

2011 Average 1,256 KES

Yearly Trough Low 1,034 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 121.59 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.2309

0.2084

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2215, compared to 0.2196 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2215

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2196

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.0132 KES (High: 0.2257 / Low: 0.2124). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 KES (High: 0.2126 / Low: 0.2096).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0132

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0056 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0056

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 0.2291) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.2315), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0025 (-1.07%).

2012 Avg (December) 0.2291

2011 Avg (December) 0.2315

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2283	0.2234	0.2258
February	0.2259	0.2202	0.2233
March	0.2251	0.2176	0.2225
April	0.2250	0.2206	0.2224
May	0.2235	0.2168	0.2193
June	0.2184	0.2128	0.2159
July	0.2191	0.2068	0.2103
August	0.2126	0.2096	0.2109
September	0.2257	0.2124	0.2194
October	0.2263	0.2225	0.2245
November	0.2265	0.2205	0.2233
December	0.2311	0.2260	0.2291