2019 KMF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2383 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0046 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2313 KES

2019 KMF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KMF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.2383. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 0.0046.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2336 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2354 to the December average rate of 0.2287, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.2383 was down 8.18% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.2595, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KMF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,191 KES

2018 Average 1,212 KES

Yearly Trough Low 23 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,168.12 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.2362

0.2269

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KMF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2318, compared to 0.2308 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2318

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2308

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.2318 KES (High: 0.2364 / Low: 0.0046). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 KES (High: 0.2311 / Low: 0.2286).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2318

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0056 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0056

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.2354) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.2550), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0196 (-7.67%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.2354

2018 Avg (January) 0.2550

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2383	0.2326	0.2354
February	0.2337	0.2295	0.2310
March	0.2329	0.2273	0.2304
April	0.2327	0.2292	0.2307
May	0.2311	0.2286	0.2299
June	0.2363	0.2298	0.2333
July	0.2364	0.0046	0.2276
August	0.2355	0.2310	0.2341
September	0.2335	0.2300	0.2319
October	0.2348	0.2306	0.2328
November	0.2336	0.2272	0.2297
December	0.2310	0.2266	0.2287