2011 LBP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9162 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.5235 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6750 UGX

2011 LBP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the LBP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 1.9162. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 1.5235.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3927 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5500 to the December average rate of 1.6270, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.97% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.9162 was up 23.40% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.5528, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,581 UGX

2010 Average 7,248 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,618 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,963.38 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.9009

1.5181

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LBP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5818, compared to 1.7682 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1864 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5818

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7682

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.2024 UGX (High: 1.9162 / Low: 1.7138). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0159 UGX (High: 1.5935 / Low: 1.5776).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2024

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0159

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1469 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1469

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.8603) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.5073), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3530 (+23.42%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.8603

2010 Avg (October) 1.5073

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5934	1.5235	1.5500
February	1.5870	1.5330	1.5609
March	1.6121	1.5732	1.5945
April	1.5858	1.5476	1.5767
May	1.5935	1.5776	1.5849
June	1.7686	1.5814	1.6235
July	1.7304	1.6777	1.7121
August	1.8781	1.7303	1.8273
September	1.9091	1.8449	1.8690
October	1.9162	1.7138	1.8603
November	1.7501	1.6627	1.7134
December	1.6923	1.5675	1.6270