2021 LBP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.4519 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.3024 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.3610 UGX

2021 LBP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the LBP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 2.4519. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 2.3024.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1495 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4338 to the December average rate of 2.3404, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.4519 was down 44.27% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.3997, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,260 UGX

2020 Average 12,323 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 11,512 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 747.73 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

2.4448

2.3128

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LBP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3860, compared to 2.3360 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0500 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3860

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3360

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0696 UGX (High: 2.4280 / Low: 2.3584). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0245 UGX (High: 2.4286 / Low: 2.4041).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0696

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0245

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0565 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0565

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 2.4338) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.4305), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0033 (+0.13%).

2021 Avg (January) 2.4338

2020 Avg (January) 2.4305

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.4519	2.4056	2.4338
February	2.4286	2.4041	2.4193
March	2.4236	2.3928	2.4084
April	2.4280	2.3584	2.3926
May	2.3657	2.3148	2.3362
June	2.3515	2.3068	2.3259
July	2.3614	2.3110	2.3354
August	2.3498	2.3140	2.3356
September	2.3444	2.3024	2.3238
October	2.3843	2.3177	2.3497
November	2.3643	2.3031	2.3313
December	2.3619	2.3201	2.3404