2018 LBP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5892 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.3900 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.4632 UGX

2018 LBP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LBP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 2.5892. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 2.3900.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1991 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4036 to the December average rate of 2.4611, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.5892 was up 6.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.4265, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,946 UGX

2017 Average 11,984 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 11,950 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 995.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.5520

2.3901

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LBP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4444, compared to 2.4820 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0376 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4444

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4820

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.1444 UGX (High: 2.5821 / Low: 2.4377). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0251 UGX (High: 2.4187 / Low: 2.3935).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1444

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0251

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0537 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0537

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 2.5385) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.3825), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1560 (+6.55%).

2018 Avg (June) 2.5385

2017 Avg (June) 2.3825

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.4214	2.3900	2.4036
February	2.4187	2.3935	2.4038
March	2.4371	2.3935	2.4131
April	2.4596	2.4288	2.4446
May	2.4995	2.4437	2.4630
June	2.5892	2.4886	2.5385
July	2.5821	2.4377	2.4847
August	2.4901	2.4355	2.4656
September	2.5293	2.4755	2.5120
October	2.5271	2.4830	2.4983
November	2.4881	2.4591	2.4706
December	2.4784	2.4463	2.4611