2013 LBP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8043 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.6601 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7157 UGX

2013 LBP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the LBP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 1.8043. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 1.6601.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1441 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7822 to the December average rate of 1.6694, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.8043 was up 0.57% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.7940, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,021 UGX

2012 Average 8,322 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,301 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 720.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.7935

1.6582

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LBP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7410, compared to 1.6904 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0506 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7410

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6904

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.0524 UGX (High: 1.7339 / Low: 1.6815). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0148 UGX (High: 1.7245 / Low: 1.7097).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0524

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0148

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0383 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0383

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1.7822) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.6012), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1810 (+11.30%).

2013 Avg (January) 1.7822

2012 Avg (January) 1.6012

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8043	1.7703	1.7822
February	1.7846	1.7511	1.7668
March	1.7690	1.7187	1.7504
April	1.7339	1.6815	1.7120
May	1.7346	1.6974	1.7173
June	1.7245	1.7097	1.7173
July	1.7191	1.7036	1.7130
August	1.7174	1.6984	1.7072
September	1.7140	1.6849	1.7001
October	1.6929	1.6643	1.6788
November	1.6834	1.6680	1.6739
December	1.6784	1.6601	1.6694