2015 LBP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.4475 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.8342 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.1462 UGX

2015 LBP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the LBP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 2.4475. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 1.8342.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6132 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8863 to the December average rate of 2.2289, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 2.4475 was up 33.08% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.8392, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,237 UGX

2014 Average 8,603 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,171 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,066.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

2.4843

1.8320

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LBP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9733, compared to 2.3191 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3458 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9733

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3191

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.1768 UGX (High: 2.3411 / Low: 2.1643). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0224 UGX (High: 2.4430 / Low: 2.4206).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1768

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0224

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1438 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1438

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 2.4137) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.7680), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6457 (+36.52%).

2015 Avg (October) 2.4137

2014 Avg (October) 1.7680

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9193	1.8342	1.8863
February	1.9197	1.8957	1.9046
March	2.0085	1.9150	1.9562
April	1.9961	1.9727	1.9854
May	2.0272	1.9834	1.9941
June	2.1890	2.0316	2.1128
July	2.3411	2.1643	2.2214
August	2.4258	2.2738	2.3506
September	2.4430	2.4206	2.4299
October	2.4475	2.3446	2.4137
November	2.3559	2.2248	2.2699
December	2.3053	2.1937	2.2289