2019 LBP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5082 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.4099 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.4527 UGX

2019 LBP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LBP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 2.5082. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 2.4099.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0984 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4549 to the December average rate of 2.4292, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2.5082 was down 3.13% compared to the 2018 peak of 2.5892, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,541 UGX

2018 Average 12,317 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 12,049 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 491.77 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2.4998

2.4228

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LBP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4644, compared to 2.4411 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0233 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4644

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4411

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0658 UGX (High: 2.4987 / Low: 2.4329). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0141 UGX (High: 2.4628 / Low: 2.4487).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0658

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0141

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0255 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0255

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 2.4934) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.4630), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0304 (+1.24%).

2019 Avg (May) 2.4934

2018 Avg (May) 2.4630

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.4766	2.4278	2.4549
February	2.4521	2.4263	2.4339
March	2.4628	2.4487	2.4552
April	2.4897	2.4585	2.4765
May	2.5082	2.4482	2.4934
June	2.4987	2.4329	2.4724
July	2.4625	2.4381	2.4469
August	2.4566	2.4280	2.4449
September	2.4493	2.4252	2.4349
October	2.4666	2.4338	2.4466
November	2.4537	2.4353	2.4441
December	2.4500	2.4099	2.4292