2014 LBP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8392 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.6305 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7200 UGX

2014 LBP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the LBP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 1.8392. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 1.6305.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2087 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6620 to the December average rate of 1.8284, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.8392 was up 1.93% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.8043, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,196 UGX

2013 Average 8,577 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,152 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,043.36 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.8471

1.6226

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LBP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6733, compared to 1.7666 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0934 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6733

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7666

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.0564 UGX (High: 1.8350 / Low: 1.7786). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0176 UGX (High: 1.7335 / Low: 1.7160).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0564

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0176

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0207 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0207

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 1.8284) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.6694), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1590 (+9.52%).

2014 Avg (December) 1.8284

2013 Avg (December) 1.6694

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6866	1.6447	1.6620
February	1.6787	1.6305	1.6413
March	1.7046	1.6693	1.6828
April	1.7016	1.6628	1.6750
May	1.6859	1.6633	1.6728
June	1.7286	1.6845	1.7058
July	1.7621	1.7165	1.7398
August	1.7335	1.7160	1.7272
September	1.7518	1.7191	1.7304
October	1.7908	1.7481	1.7680
November	1.8350	1.7786	1.8062
December	1.8392	1.8184	1.8284