2011 LRD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4676 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.1151 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2310 KES

2011 LRD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the LRD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.4676. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 1.1151.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3525 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1299 to the December average rate of 1.1992, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.4676 was up 21.83% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.2046, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,338 KES

2010 Average 5,597 KES

Yearly Trough Low 5,575 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,762.65 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.4266

1.0981

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1677, compared to 1.2944 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1267 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1677

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2944

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.1356 KES (High: 1.4284 / Low: 1.2927). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0195 KES (High: 1.1362 / Low: 1.1167).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1356

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1032 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.3992) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.1253), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2740 (+24.35%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.3992

2010 Avg (October) 1.1253

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1566	1.1151	1.1299
February	1.1362	1.1167	1.1255
March	1.1911	1.1414	1.1691
April	1.1821	1.1503	1.1674
May	1.2138	1.1487	1.1840
June	1.2709	1.1929	1.2303
July	1.2569	1.2220	1.2396
August	1.3189	1.2577	1.2856
September	1.4284	1.2927	1.3400
October	1.4676	1.3723	1.3992
November	1.3659	1.2432	1.3024
December	1.2603	1.1520	1.1992