2014 LRD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0843 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9485 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9978 KES

2014 LRD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the LRD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 22, valuing the pair at 1.0843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 0.9485.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1358 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0309 to the December average rate of 0.9886, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.0843 was down 8.82% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.1892, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,421 KES

2013 Average 5,622 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,742 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 679.16 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.0600

0.9484

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0226, compared to 0.9730 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0496 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0226

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9730

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was June, with a trading range of 0.0844 KES (High: 1.0524 / Low: 0.9680). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 KES (High: 0.9909 / Low: 0.9861).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0844

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0388 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0388

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 1.0318) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.1240), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0922 (-8.21%).

2014 Avg (May) 1.0318

2013 Avg (May) 1.1240

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0745	0.9999	1.0309
February	1.0131	1.0059	1.0091
March	1.0826	1.0103	1.0507
April	1.0252	1.0084	1.0167
May	1.0843	1.0075	1.0318
June	1.0524	0.9680	0.9965
July	0.9711	0.9485	0.9577
August	0.9685	0.9489	0.9620
September	0.9761	0.9677	0.9712
October	0.9793	0.9729	0.9752
November	0.9862	0.9780	0.9832
December	0.9909	0.9861	0.9886