2013 LRD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1892 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.0528 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1248 KES

2013 LRD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the LRD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.1892. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 24, dropping to 1.0528.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1364 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1744 to the December average rate of 1.0682, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.1892 was down 1.69% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.2097, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,946 KES

2012 Average 5,734 KES

Yearly Trough Low 5,264 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 682.23 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.1874

1.0525

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1493, compared to 1.1003 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0490 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1493

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1003

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was October, with a trading range of 0.0478 KES (High: 1.1006 / Low: 1.0528). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0143 KES (High: 1.0767 / Low: 1.0624).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0478

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0143

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0490 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0490

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1.1744) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.1846), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0102 (-0.86%).

2013 Avg (January) 1.1744

2012 Avg (January) 1.1846

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1892	1.1652	1.1744
February	1.1821	1.1583	1.1762
March	1.1745	1.1461	1.1539
April	1.1463	1.1180	1.1307
May	1.1417	1.1054	1.1240
June	1.1484	1.1194	1.1363
July	1.1733	1.1388	1.1566
August	1.1611	1.1168	1.1317
September	1.1455	1.1025	1.1127
October	1.1006	1.0528	1.0637
November	1.0842	1.0543	1.0688
December	1.0767	1.0624	1.0682