2015 LRD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2275 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9915 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1439 KES

2015 LRD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the LRD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 15, valuing the pair at 1.2275. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 0.9915.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2359 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9985 to the December average rate of 1.1931, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.2275 was up 13.20% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.0843, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,137 KES

2014 Average 4,989 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,958 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,179.60 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.2298

0.9775

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0933, compared to 1.1945 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0933

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1945

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was February, with a trading range of 0.0858 KES (High: 1.0866 / Low: 1.0008). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0126 KES (High: 1.0042 / Low: 0.9915).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0858

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0126

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0176 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0176

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 1.2088) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.9752), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2336 (+23.96%).

2015 Avg (October) 1.2088

2014 Avg (October) 0.9752

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0042	0.9915	0.9985
February	1.0866	1.0008	1.0787
March	1.0935	1.0755	1.0848
April	1.1189	1.0861	1.1031
May	1.1605	1.1180	1.1388
June	1.1809	1.1383	1.1559
July	1.2020	1.1707	1.1898
August	1.2018	1.1668	1.1811
September	1.2269	1.1751	1.2030
October	1.2275	1.1907	1.2088
November	1.2161	1.1839	1.1912
December	1.2080	1.1540	1.1931