2019 LRD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6489 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.4846 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5531 KES

2019 LRD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LRD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.6489. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 0.4846.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1644 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6385 to the December average rate of 0.5378, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.6489 was down 22.63% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.8388, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,245 KES

2018 Average 3,544 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2,423 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 821.91 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.6532

0.4764

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5961, compared to 0.5100 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0861 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5961

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5100

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was May, with a trading range of 0.0640 KES (High: 0.5950 / Low: 0.5310). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 KES (High: 0.6266 / Low: 0.6197).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0640

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0461 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0461

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.6385) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.8110), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1726 (-21.28%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.6385

2018 Avg (January) 0.8110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6489	0.6241	0.6385
February	0.6266	0.6197	0.6223
March	0.6226	0.6150	0.6190
April	0.6187	0.5941	0.6095
May	0.5950	0.5310	0.5634
June	0.5310	0.5214	0.5241
July	0.5233	0.5121	0.5159
August	0.5096	0.4983	0.5073
September	0.5019	0.4938	0.4981
October	0.4965	0.4876	0.4911
November	0.5327	0.4846	0.5100
December	0.5419	0.5335	0.5378