2017 LRD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1554 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8191 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0052 KES

2017 LRD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the LRD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 29, valuing the pair at 1.1554. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 0.8191.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3363 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1080 to the December average rate of 0.8215, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1.1554 was down 5.08% compared to the 2016 peak of 1.2172, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,777 KES

2016 Average 5,688 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,095 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,681.46 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1.1498

0.7917

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0995, compared to 0.9108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1886 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0995

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was August, with a trading range of 0.2603 KES (High: 1.1545 / Low: 0.8942). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0061 KES (High: 0.8252 / Low: 0.8191).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2603

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0061

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1938 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1938

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2017: 1.1200) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1.1218), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0018 (-0.16%).

2017 Avg (July) 1.1200

2016 Avg (July) 1.1218

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1388	1.0913	1.1080
February	1.1054	1.0901	1.0997
March	1.1023	1.0821	1.0940
April	1.1008	1.0929	1.0971
May	1.1107	1.0894	1.0964
June	1.1135	1.0866	1.1016
July	1.1554	1.1035	1.1200
August	1.1545	0.8942	0.9262
September	0.8966	0.8763	0.8823
October	0.8828	0.8687	0.8741
November	0.8693	0.8210	0.8410
December	0.8252	0.8191	0.8215