YEARLY HIGH
117.2926 CDF
YEARLY LOW
91.6485 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
98.6868 CDF

2016 MAD to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 117.2926. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 20, dropping to 91.6485.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.6441 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 93.5647 to the December average rate of 115.1791, the exchange rate registered a net change of 23.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 117.2926 was up 15.13% compared to the 2015 peak of 101.8785, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 586,463 CDF
2015 Average 475,175 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 458,243 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 128,220.36 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

117.3405
91.4033
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 95.3855, compared to 101.9881 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.6026 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 95.3855
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.9881

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 21.9693 CDF (High: 113.6179 / Low: 91.6485). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0988 CDF (High: 96.6919 / Low: 95.5931).

November Spread (Volatile) ±21.9693
April Spread (Stable) ±1.0988

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.5272 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5272

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 115.1791) against the same month in 2015 (average: 93.6671), the exchange rate shifted by +21.5120 (+22.97%).

2016 Avg (December) 115.1791
2015 Avg (December) 93.6671

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 94.2708 93.0130 93.5647
February 96.1725 93.6672 94.9600
March 96.4169 93.2378 94.9971
April 96.6919 95.5931 96.1064
May 97.2017 94.9078 95.9254
June 99.3829 93.9914 96.7593
July 100.0468 96.2044 97.0562
August 101.5128 99.2876 100.4037
September 100.9114 99.6693 100.4303
October 100.9231 97.1656 98.9031
November 113.6179 91.6485 99.9562
December 117.2926 113.0444 115.1791