YEARLY HIGH
6.6923 BTN
YEARLY LOW
5.4904 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8166 BTN

2011 MOP to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 6.6923. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 5.4904.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2018 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.6665 to the December average rate of 6.5501, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 6.6923 was up 12.68% compared to the 2010 peak of 5.9391, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,461 BTN
2010 Average 28,537 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 27,452 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,009.20 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.6518
5.4309
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.6136, compared to 6.0196 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4059 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.6136
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0196

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.4777 BTN (High: 6.1711 / Low: 5.6934). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0383 BTN (High: 5.6117 / Low: 5.5734).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.4777
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0383

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0634 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0634

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 6.5501) against the same month in 2010 (average: 5.6277), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9224 (+16.39%).

2011 Avg (December) 6.5501
2010 Avg (December) 5.6277

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.7301 5.5795 5.6665
February 5.7049 5.6083 5.6675
March 5.6491 5.5639 5.6067
April 5.5673 5.5045 5.5433
May 5.6559 5.5285 5.6061
June 5.6117 5.5734 5.5916
July 5.5675 5.4904 5.5326
August 5.7452 5.4942 5.6509
September 6.1711 5.6934 5.9207
October 6.2181 6.0796 6.1360
November 6.5327 6.1103 6.3270
December 6.6923 6.3885 6.5501