YEARLY HIGH
8.4678 BTN
YEARLY LOW
7.6797 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.0303 BTN

2015 MOP to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 8.4678. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 7.6797.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7882 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.7832 to the December average rate of 8.3526, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 8.4678 was up 6.40% compared to the 2014 peak of 7.9584, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,339 BTN
2014 Average 38,192 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 38,398 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,940.77 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

8.4113
7.7065
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.8638, compared to 8.1967 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3329 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.8638
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1967

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 0.3885 BTN (High: 8.3692 / Low: 7.9806). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1154 BTN (High: 8.0319 / Low: 7.9165).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3885
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1154

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1512 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1512

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 8.3526) against the same month in 2014 (average: 7.8529), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4997 (+6.36%).

2015 Avg (December) 8.3526
2014 Avg (December) 7.8529

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9510 7.6797 7.7832
February 7.8232 7.7060 7.7652
March 7.8752 7.7298 7.8056
April 7.9990 7.7775 7.8655
May 8.0319 7.9165 7.9703
June 8.0537 7.9272 7.9933
July 8.0527 7.9067 7.9704
August 8.3692 7.9806 8.1489
September 8.3658 8.2207 8.2944
October 8.2105 8.0750 8.1432
November 8.3624 8.1835 8.2708
December 8.4678 8.2809 8.3526