YEARLY HIGH
9.6313 BTN
YEARLY LOW
8.8284 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.2721 BTN

2020 MOP to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 21, valuing the pair at 9.6313. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 8.8284.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8029 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.8965 to the December average rate of 9.2204, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 9.6313 was up 7.57% compared to the 2019 peak of 8.9532, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,157 BTN
2019 Average 43,597 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 44,142 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,014.72 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

9.6032
8.8322
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.2691, compared to 9.2751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0060 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.2691
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.2751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.5648 BTN (High: 9.5632 / Low: 8.9984). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0960 BTN (High: 9.3442 / Low: 9.2482).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5648
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0960

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1429 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1429

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2020: 9.5389) against the same month in 2019 (average: 8.5993), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9397 (+10.93%).

2020 Avg (April) 9.5389
2019 Avg (April) 8.5993

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.9718 8.8284 8.8965
February 8.9984 8.8922 8.9238
March 9.5632 8.9984 9.2967
April 9.6313 9.4371 9.5389
May 9.5204 9.4022 9.4711
June 9.5384 9.4088 9.4875
July 9.4650 9.3367 9.3861
August 9.4053 9.1826 9.3383
September 9.2434 9.1037 9.1954
October 9.3361 9.1573 9.2122
November 9.3442 9.2482 9.2982
December 9.2715 9.1504 9.2204