YEARLY HIGH
7.9584 BTN
YEARLY LOW
7.3142 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6391 BTN

2014 MOP to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 7.9584. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 24, dropping to 7.3142.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6442 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.7667 to the December average rate of 7.8529, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 7.9584 was down 6.11% compared to the 2013 peak of 8.4760, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,792 BTN
2013 Average 36,651 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 36,571 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,220.93 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

7.8948
7.3915
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.6090, compared to 7.6692 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0602 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.6090
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.6692

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 0.2660 BTN (High: 7.7507 / Low: 7.4847). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0831 BTN (High: 7.8297 / Low: 7.7466).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2660
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0831

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1603 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1603

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 7.8529) against the same month in 2013 (average: 7.7497), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1032 (+1.33%).

2014 Avg (December) 7.8529
2013 Avg (December) 7.7497

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.8807 7.6795 7.7667
February 7.8297 7.7466 7.7898
March 7.7507 7.4847 7.6295
April 7.6468 7.4884 7.5527
May 7.5615 7.3142 7.4334
June 7.5638 7.4037 7.4822
July 7.5726 7.4841 7.5217
August 7.6858 7.5642 7.6204
September 7.7164 7.5239 7.6122
October 7.7635 7.6351 7.6807
November 7.7665 7.6601 7.7277
December 7.9584 7.7232 7.8529