YEARLY HIGH
8.4760 BTN
YEARLY LOW
6.6214 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.3269 BTN

2013 MOP to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 28, valuing the pair at 8.4760. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 6.6214.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8546 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8076 to the December average rate of 7.7497, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 8.4760 was up 18.51% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.1522, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,380 BTN
2012 Average 32,973 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 33,107 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,272.97 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

8.1193
6.6046
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.8830, compared to 7.7708 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8878 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.8830
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.7708

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.9151 BTN (High: 8.4760 / Low: 7.5608). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1242 BTN (High: 6.8774 / Low: 6.7532).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.9151
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1242

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2839 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2839

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2013: 7.8491) against the same month in 2012 (average: 6.4400), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4091 (+21.88%).

2013 Avg (August) 7.8491
2012 Avg (August) 6.4400

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9394 6.6756 6.8076
February 6.8128 6.6214 6.7308
March 6.8774 6.7532 6.8070
April 6.8782 6.7431 6.8061
May 7.0559 6.7116 6.8642
June 7.5444 7.0672 7.2823
July 7.5958 7.3851 7.4832
August 8.4760 7.5608 7.8491
September 8.4445 7.7812 7.9931
October 7.8361 7.6406 7.7092
November 7.9750 7.7262 7.8407
December 7.8152 7.6498 7.7497