YEARLY HIGH
8.9532 BTN
YEARLY LOW
8.4808 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.7201 BTN

2019 MOP to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 3, valuing the pair at 8.9532. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 18, dropping to 8.4808.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4724 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.7439 to the December average rate of 8.8563, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 8.9532 was down 2.82% compared to the 2018 peak of 9.2126, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,766 BTN
2018 Average 42,356 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 42,404 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,361.99 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

8.8921
8.5074
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.6639, compared to 8.7763 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1124 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.6639
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.7763

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.3266 BTN (High: 8.8961 / Low: 8.5695). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0900 BTN (High: 8.6637 / Low: 8.5737).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3266
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0900

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1995 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1995

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2019: 8.8257) against the same month in 2018 (average: 8.9248), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0991 (-1.11%).

2019 Avg (September) 8.8257
2018 Avg (September) 8.9248

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.8242 8.6108 8.7439
February 8.8728 8.7198 8.7962
March 8.7674 8.4808 8.5967
April 8.6912 8.4844 8.5993
May 8.7178 8.5778 8.6315
June 8.6637 8.5737 8.6159
July 8.5856 8.4845 8.5394
August 8.8961 8.5695 8.7833
September 8.9532 8.7401 8.8257
October 8.8537 8.7607 8.7929
November 8.9318 8.7592 8.8601
December 8.9021 8.7990 8.8563