2012 MOP to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

116.9516 CDF

YEARLY LOW

113.0802 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

115.1463 CDF

2012 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 28, valuing the pair at 116.9516. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 113.0802.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8714 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 114.0118 to the December average rate of 115.9650, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.71% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 116.9516 was up 1.59% compared to the 2011 peak of 115.1180, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 584,758 CDF

2011 Average 568,336 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 565,401 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,356.88 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

116.2719

113.8063

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 114.4959, compared to 115.7968 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 114.4959

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 115.7968

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 2.9240 CDF (High: 116.2154 / Low: 113.2915). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7190 CDF (High: 116.2276 / Low: 115.5086).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.9240

October Spread (Stable) ±0.7190

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1014 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1014

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2012: 116.0664) against the same month in 2011 (average: 113.4988), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5676 (+2.26%).

2012 Avg (November) 116.0664

2011 Avg (November) 113.4988

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	115.9627	113.0802	114.0118
February	116.2154	113.2915	114.6100
March	115.7496	113.6178	114.5999
April	115.8041	113.9125	114.5561
May	115.7502	113.6289	114.5093
June	116.2817	113.8230	114.6881
July	116.4936	114.1453	115.3691
August	116.3906	114.8753	115.7285
September	116.5585	115.2723	115.8006
October	116.2276	115.5086	115.8509
November	116.9516	115.5751	116.0664
December	116.8511	114.9991	115.9650