YEARLY HIGH
364.5513 CDF
YEARLY LOW
265.4107 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
339.5687 CDF

2025 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 9, valuing the pair at 364.5513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 15, dropping to 265.4107.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 99.1406 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 355.7927 to the December average rate of 281.6609, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 364.5513 was up 1.39% compared to the 2024 peak of 359.5564, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,822,756 CDF
2024 Average 1,751,781 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 1,327,053 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 495,702.83 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

370.9497
268.5137
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 358.6399, compared to 320.4976 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 38.1422 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 358.6399
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 320.4976

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was October, with a trading range of 59.5467 CDF (High: 327.7185 / Low: 268.1719). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.4832 CDF (High: 358.6898 / Low: 355.2066).

October Spread (Volatile) ±59.5467
February Spread (Stable) ±3.4832

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 61.7353 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -61.7353

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 362.4134) against the same month in 2024 (average: 346.2157), the exchange rate shifted by +16.1976 (+4.68%).

2025 Avg (April) 362.4134
2024 Avg (April) 346.2157

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 358.1026 353.4660 355.7927
February 358.6898 355.2066 357.1505
March 359.9707 355.3846 358.1692
April 364.5513 359.8749 362.4134
May 363.5231 356.6315 360.5310
June 360.0241 355.5745 357.7824
July 360.8884 357.0091 358.5714
August 361.5150 355.9869 359.2259
September 362.0755 328.0218 354.1064
October 327.7185 268.1719 292.3711
November 286.7731 265.4107 277.0500
December 285.8925 270.0042 281.6609