2019 MOP to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

210.3405 CDF

YEARLY LOW

201.3484 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

204.8222 CDF

2019 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 210.3405. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 201.3484.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.9922 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 202.4132 to the December average rate of 208.8340, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 210.3405 was up 2.48% compared to the 2018 peak of 205.2473, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,051,703 CDF

2018 Average 1,003,084 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,006,742 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 44,960.92 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

209.4761

201.7711

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 203.1599, compared to 206.4844 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.3246 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 203.1599

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 206.4844

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 3.9116 CDF (High: 210.3405 / Low: 206.4289). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9666 CDF (High: 206.3627 / Low: 205.3961).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.9116

October Spread (Stable) ±0.9666

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.9347 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9347

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 208.8340) against the same month in 2018 (average: 201.7314), the exchange rate shifted by +7.1026 (+3.52%).

2019 Avg (December) 208.8340

2018 Avg (December) 201.7314

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	203.8388	201.3484	202.4132
February	203.6579	201.6172	202.6240
March	203.7704	201.6481	202.4797
April	203.3331	201.9797	202.7921
May	204.7430	202.2771	203.4480
June	206.3890	203.3786	205.2022
July	207.3932	205.3018	206.2731
August	206.8798	204.6400	205.3384
September	206.8989	205.1112	206.2125
October	206.3627	205.3961	205.8885
November	206.7363	204.9942	206.3601
December	210.3405	206.4289	208.8340