2021 MOP to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

251.2475 CDF

YEARLY LOW

245.7744 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

248.7052 CDF

2021 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 251.2475. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 245.7744.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4731 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 247.0271 to the December average rate of 248.9982, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 251.2475 was up 0.86% compared to the 2020 peak of 249.1076, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,256,238 CDF

2020 Average 1,158,461 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,228,872 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,365.57 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

250.0678

246.7507

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 248.4664, compared to 248.9439 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4775 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 248.4664

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 248.9439

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 3.9327 CDF (High: 249.7183 / Low: 245.7857). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1935 CDF (High: 248.7915 / Low: 247.5980).

March Spread (Volatile) ±3.9327

February Spread (Stable) ±1.1935

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.9967 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9967

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 249.4070) against the same month in 2020 (average: 244.2923), the exchange rate shifted by +5.1147 (+2.09%).

2021 Avg (October) 249.4070

2020 Avg (October) 244.2923

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	247.8500	245.7744	247.0271
February	248.7915	247.5980	247.9749
March	249.7183	245.7857	248.5658
April	250.2741	247.0512	248.6465
May	250.4787	248.5885	249.5486
June	249.8365	247.9019	249.0356
July	250.4803	247.7214	249.0035
August	249.0364	247.3843	248.0068
September	249.7380	247.9112	248.4567
October	251.2475	247.5649	249.4070
November	250.6443	249.1191	249.7914
December	249.5564	246.6547	248.9982