2026 MOP to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

288.9510 CDF

YEARLY LOW

263.7875 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

283.3852 CDF

2026 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 28, valuing the pair at 288.9510. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 25, dropping to 263.7875.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.1635 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 281.4643 to the December average rate of 284.4320, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 288.9510 was down 20.74% compared to the 2025 peak of 364.5513, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,444,755 CDF

2025 Average 1,697,216 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,318,938 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 125,817.41 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

287.6597

279.4523

JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 283.2108, compared to 284.4320 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2213 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 283.2108

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 284.4320

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 23.2315 CDF (High: 287.0191 / Low: 263.7875). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.7087 CDF (High: 288.9510 / Low: 285.2423).

February Spread (Volatile) ±23.2315

April Spread (Stable) ±3.7087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 3.8166 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8166

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2026: 286.9757) against the same month in 2025 (average: 362.4134), the exchange rate shifted by -75.4377 (-20.82%).

2026 Avg (April) 286.9757

2025 Avg (April) 362.4134

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	288.3135	268.0629	281.4643
February	287.0191	263.7875	280.1362
March	287.9434	268.8785	282.1355
April	288.9510	285.2423	286.9757
May	287.4543	281.2442	283.1591
June	287.4511	280.4583	285.3936
July	285.8574	279.5785	284.4320