2016 MOP to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

149.5337 CDF

YEARLY LOW

113.8673 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

121.0575 CDF

2016 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 149.5337. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 113.8673.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 35.6663 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 115.6276 to the December average rate of 145.7248, the exchange rate registered a net change of 26.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 149.5337 was up 27.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 117.7294, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 747,668 CDF

2015 Average 580,020 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 569,337 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 178,331.65 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

148.7345

112.6179

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 116.1964, compared to 125.9185 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.7221 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 116.1964

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 125.9185

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 28.8706 CDF (High: 143.3738 / Low: 114.5031). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6028 CDF (High: 116.3874 / Low: 115.7846).

November Spread (Volatile) ±28.8706

April Spread (Stable) ±0.6028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.5880 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5880

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 145.7248) against the same month in 2015 (average: 116.2965), the exchange rate shifted by +29.4283 (+25.30%).

2016 Avg (December) 145.7248

2015 Avg (December) 116.2965

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	116.1268	115.2018	115.6276
February	116.1507	115.4351	115.8202
March	116.4128	115.1934	116.0181
April	116.3874	115.7846	116.1724
May	116.4191	115.7280	116.0202
June	120.2737	113.8673	117.5199
July	122.5170	117.9053	119.0887
August	123.0595	121.4050	122.2408
September	123.0157	121.3939	122.1748
October	123.0287	120.0670	121.5868
November	143.3738	114.5031	124.6953
December	149.5337	141.9292	145.7248