2013 MOP to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.3883 DJF

YEARLY LOW

22.0959 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

22.2218 DJF

2013 MOP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 11, valuing the pair at 22.3883. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 10, dropping to 22.0959.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2924 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.2372 to the December average rate of 22.2974, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 22.3883 was down 0.64% compared to the 2012 peak of 22.5327, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 111,941 DJF

2012 Average 111,582 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 110,479 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,462.05 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

22.3094

22.1659

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.1998, compared to 22.2439 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0442 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.1998

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.2439

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.2024 DJF (High: 22.3159 / Low: 22.1134). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0895 DJF (High: 22.2290 / Low: 22.1395).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2024

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0895

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0551 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0551

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 22.2974) against the same month in 2012 (average: 22.2732), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0242 (+0.11%).

2013 Avg (December) 22.2974

2012 Avg (December) 22.2732

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.3426	22.1647	22.2372
February	22.2683	22.1133	22.1984
March	22.2543	22.0959	22.1850
April	22.2172	22.1180	22.1779
May	22.2290	22.1395	22.1852
June	22.2836	22.1094	22.2149
July	22.3017	22.1497	22.2460
August	22.3159	22.1134	22.2371
September	22.3288	22.2059	22.2535
October	22.2640	22.1143	22.1984
November	22.3057	22.1630	22.2312
December	22.3883	22.2199	22.2974