2019 MOP to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.4095 DJF

YEARLY LOW

18.3179 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

22.0520 DJF

2019 MOP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 22.4095. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 18.3179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0917 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 21.9221 to the December average rate of 22.1511, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 22.4095 was up 0.48% compared to the 2018 peak of 22.3022, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 112,048 DJF

2018 Average 110,156 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 91,589 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,458.42 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

22.1740

21.8992

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.0174, compared to 22.0866 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0692 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.0174

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.0866

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 3.8191 DJF (High: 22.1370 / Low: 18.3179). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0304 DJF (High: 22.0362 / Low: 22.0058).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.8191

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0304

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0622 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0622

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 22.0598) against the same month in 2018 (average: 22.0289), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0308 (+0.14%).

2019 Avg (August) 22.0598

2018 Avg (August) 22.0289

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.1370	18.3179	21.9221
February	22.0362	22.0058	22.0211
March	22.0687	22.0107	22.0239
April	22.0822	21.9868	22.0289
May	22.0584	21.9908	22.0260
June	22.1803	22.0008	22.0824
July	22.1926	22.0426	22.1220
August	22.4095	22.0247	22.0598
September	22.2539	21.9415	22.0597
October	22.1189	22.0234	22.0447
November	22.1247	22.0508	22.0823
December	22.2289	22.0718	22.1511