2016 MOP to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.4378 DJF

YEARLY LOW

22.0663 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

22.2231 DJF

2016 MOP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 22.4378. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 22.0663.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3715 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.1657 to the December average rate of 22.3261, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 22.4378 was down 0.41% compared to the 2015 peak of 22.5305, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 112,189 DJF

2015 Average 111,230 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 110,332 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,857.61 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

22.3422

22.1493

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.2086, compared to 22.2377 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0291 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.2086

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.2377

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2092 DJF (High: 22.2755 / Low: 22.0663). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0523 DJF (High: 22.2616 / Low: 22.2093).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2092

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0432 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0432

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 22.3261) against the same month in 2015 (average: 22.2943), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0319 (+0.14%).

2016 Avg (December) 22.3261

2015 Avg (December) 22.2943

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.2755	22.0663	22.1657
February	22.2261	22.1041	22.1654
March	22.2813	22.1808	22.2379
April	22.2616	22.2093	22.2421
May	22.2783	22.1656	22.2078
June	22.2915	22.1822	22.2324
July	22.2349	22.0874	22.1892
August	22.2295	22.1119	22.1985
September	22.2539	22.1323	22.2030
October	22.3120	22.1811	22.2377
November	22.3444	22.1695	22.2713
December	22.4378	22.2341	22.3261