2014 MOP to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.4939 DJF

YEARLY LOW

22.1834 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

22.3427 DJF

2014 MOP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 22.4939. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 22.1834.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3105 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.2747 to the December average rate of 22.3152, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 22.4939 was up 0.47% compared to the 2013 peak of 22.3883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 112,470 DJF

2013 Average 111,110 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 110,917 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,552.41 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

22.4023

22.2615

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.3282, compared to 22.3571 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0289 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.3282

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.3571

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was April, with a trading range of 0.2811 DJF (High: 22.4731 / Low: 22.1920). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1729 DJF (High: 22.3571 / Low: 22.1842).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2811

March Spread (Stable) ±0.1729

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0483 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0483

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 22.3635) against the same month in 2013 (average: 22.2312), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1323 (+0.60%).

2014 Avg (November) 22.3635

2013 Avg (November) 22.2312

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.3877	22.1886	22.2747
February	22.3783	22.2049	22.2887
March	22.3571	22.1842	22.2732
April	22.4731	22.1920	22.3545
May	22.4758	22.2939	22.3898
June	22.4820	22.3024	22.3885
July	22.4921	22.3103	22.3865
August	22.4775	22.2909	22.3906
September	22.4331	22.1979	22.3461
October	22.4693	22.2200	22.3409
November	22.4939	22.2769	22.3635
December	22.4600	22.1834	22.3152