2018 MOP to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.3022 DJF

YEARLY LOW

21.8260 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

22.0311 DJF

2018 MOP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 22.3022. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 1, dropping to 21.8260.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4762 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.1928 to the December average rate of 22.0916, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 22.3022 was down 1.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 22.5958, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 111,511 DJF

2017 Average 111,407 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 109,130 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,381.23 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

22.2237

21.8521

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.0057, compared to 22.0565 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0508 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.0057

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.0565

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.2153 DJF (High: 22.0413 / Low: 21.8260). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0730 DJF (High: 22.0513 / Low: 21.9783).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2153

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0730

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1567 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1567

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 22.1928) against the same month in 2017 (average: 22.3732), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1805 (-0.81%).

2018 Avg (January) 22.1928

2017 Avg (January) 22.3732

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.3022	22.1082	22.1928
February	22.1659	21.9534	22.0360
March	21.9877	21.8844	21.9273
April	21.9187	21.8270	21.8830
May	22.0413	21.8260	21.9735
June	22.0513	21.9783	22.0214
July	22.0382	21.9591	22.0173
August	22.1045	21.9990	22.0289
September	22.1421	21.9988	22.0569
October	22.1428	21.9839	22.0578
November	22.2448	22.0570	22.0863
December	22.1479	21.9860	22.0916