YEARLY HIGH
22.3122 DJF
YEARLY LOW
21.9087 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
22.0761 DJF

2026 MOP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 30, valuing the pair at 22.3122. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 21.9087.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4034 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.1567 to the December average rate of 22.0326, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 22.3122 was down 0.57% compared to the 2025 peak of 22.4391, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 111,561 DJF
2025 Average 110,775 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 109,544 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,017.22 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

22.1691
22.0201
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.0833, compared to 22.0326 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0508 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.0833
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.0326

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.3086 DJF (High: 22.3122 / Low: 22.0036). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0728 DJF (High: 22.1175 / Low: 22.0447).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3086
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0728

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0538 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0538

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 22.1567) against the same month in 2025 (average: 22.1769), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0202 (-0.09%).

2026 Avg (January) 22.1567
2025 Avg (January) 22.1769

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 22.3122 22.0036 22.1567
February 22.1438 22.0687 22.1029
March 22.1303 21.9888 22.0678
April 22.1599 22.0065 22.0588
May 22.1175 22.0447 22.0738
June 22.0767 21.9891 22.0400
July 22.0585 21.9087 22.0326