2012 MOP to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

204.6562 SOS

YEARLY LOW

199.9456 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

202.9592 SOS

2012 MOP to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 204.6562. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 21, dropping to 199.9456.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.7105 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 203.7262 to the December average rate of 202.0964, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 204.6562 was down 0.06% compared to the 2011 peak of 204.7783, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,023,281 SOS

2011 Average 1,006,609 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 999,728 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,552.59 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

203.8892

201.9335

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 203.0765, compared to 202.8420 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2346 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 203.0765

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 202.8420

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 4.1313 SOS (High: 204.0770 / Low: 199.9456). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5189 SOS (High: 202.4020 / Low: 201.8831).

May Spread (Volatile) ±4.1313

November Spread (Stable) ±0.5189

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.7451 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7451

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 203.7262) against the same month in 2011 (average: 199.8869), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8393 (+1.92%).

2012 Avg (January) 203.7262

2011 Avg (January) 199.8869

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	204.6562	203.2020	203.7262
February	203.9724	201.9135	203.4469
March	203.7373	201.9927	203.3179
April	203.7028	201.6161	203.1074
May	204.0770	199.9456	202.3623
June	203.7344	199.9795	202.4987
July	203.7727	201.4482	202.9996
August	204.1758	202.9671	203.3800
September	203.6117	202.8184	203.3686
October	203.6901	201.9843	202.9668
November	202.4020	201.8831	202.2403
December	202.6686	201.0902	202.0964