YEARLY HIGH
77.9146 SOS
YEARLY LOW
69.4037 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
74.2337 SOS

2016 MOP to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 77.9146. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 69.4037.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.5109 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 77.2169 to the December average rate of 71.6766, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 77.9146 was down 14.23% compared to the 2015 peak of 90.8432, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 389,573 SOS
2015 Average 422,182 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 347,019 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 42,554.42 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

77.7710
71.1226
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 75.9566, compared to 72.5108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.4458 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 75.9566
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 72.5108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 3.3518 SOS (High: 72.7555 / Low: 69.4037). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7231 SOS (High: 73.4652 / Low: 72.7421).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.3518
September Spread (Stable) ±0.7231

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.0005 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0005

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 77.2169) against the same month in 2015 (average: 89.5016), the exchange rate shifted by -12.2846 (-13.73%).

2016 Avg (January) 77.2169
2015 Avg (January) 89.5016

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 77.9146 76.3249 77.2169
February 77.1697 75.9789 76.4582
March 77.0347 76.0474 76.6289
April 77.0246 75.5029 76.3567
May 76.7005 73.9181 75.5396
June 74.9459 72.3000 73.5392
July 73.6128 71.7615 72.8717
August 73.4860 72.2959 72.8854
September 73.4652 72.7421 73.0114
October 73.5503 71.8826 72.7742
November 72.7555 69.4037 71.8456
December 72.8746 69.6990 71.6766