YEARLY HIGH
71.3012 SOS
YEARLY LOW
69.7146 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
70.6288 SOS

2023 MOP to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 71.3012. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 69.7146.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5867 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 70.6083 to the December average rate of 70.9937, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 71.3012 was down 2.36% compared to the 2022 peak of 73.0245, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 356,506 SOS
2022 Average 356,722 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 348,573 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,933.39 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

71.1043
70.2608
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 70.4331, compared to 70.8245 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3914 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 70.4331
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 70.8245

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 1.2889 SOS (High: 71.0035 / Low: 69.7146). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2680 SOS (High: 70.9551 / Low: 70.6871).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.2889
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2680

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2562 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2562

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 70.7165) against the same month in 2022 (average: 71.2614), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5449 (-0.76%).

2023 Avg (July) 70.7165
2022 Avg (July) 71.2614

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 70.8644 70.4193 70.6083
February 71.0035 69.7146 70.3521
March 71.0584 70.2928 70.3584
April 70.6812 69.8165 70.3311
May 70.6852 70.2237 70.4484
June 70.6738 70.0502 70.5005
July 71.3012 70.0750 70.7165
August 70.9268 70.2527 70.6249
September 70.9476 70.4742 70.7057
October 70.9551 70.6871 70.8720
November 71.2585 70.3589 71.0340
December 71.1395 70.5618 70.9937