YEARLY HIGH
141.9768 SOS
YEARLY LOW
88.2833 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
114.0343 SOS

2014 MOP to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 141.9768. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 88.2833.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 53.6934 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 138.2653 to the December average rate of 91.4315, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 141.9768 was down 29.91% compared to the 2013 peak of 202.5541, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 709,884 SOS
2013 Average 880,103 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 441,417 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 268,467.11 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

142.9487
86.7481
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 126.8208, compared to 101.2477 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 25.5732 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 126.8208
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.2477

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was July, with a trading range of 9.1725 SOS (High: 115.6333 / Low: 106.4608). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2333 SOS (High: 106.9368 / Low: 104.7035).

July Spread (Volatile) ±9.1725
August Spread (Stable) ±2.2333

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 7.2298 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.2298

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 138.2653) against the same month in 2013 (average: 200.4224), the exchange rate shifted by -62.1570 (-31.01%).

2014 Avg (January) 138.2653
2013 Avg (January) 200.4224

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 141.9768 135.3562 138.2653
February 136.0158 130.6432 133.8107
March 130.8178 123.3442 127.3236
April 124.4177 121.7911 122.7789
May 122.8951 118.5165 121.4929
June 119.0844 115.2342 117.2536
July 115.6333 106.4608 112.9215
August 106.9368 104.7035 105.6916
September 105.4278 96.7361 102.7440
October 98.3496 96.1148 97.6028
November 98.8652 93.5805 97.0947
December 94.1733 88.2833 91.4315